$PREDICTIONS is a live AI oracle. Claude scans the most liquid markets on Polymarket — prices, flow, time decay — and publishes its highest-conviction plays right here. No paywall. No alpha group. Just the feed.
ORACLE READ // Oracle brain offline — the board below is the quant heuristic: liquidity-weighted favorites with time decay on their side. Deterministic, transparent, and clearly labeled. Wire an ANTHROPIC_API_KEY to wake Claude up.
QUANT SIGNAL — pure flow-following, no model opinion. Backing the favorite "No" at 81¢ with $1.5M of 24h volume behind it and resolves within a day on the clock. Favorites in this price band historically resolve more often than their price implies.
RISK // Heuristic only: one headline against the favorite and the position bleeds out with no model to catch it.
QUANT SIGNAL — pure flow-following, no model opinion. Backing the favorite "No" at 55¢ with $5.2M of 24h volume behind it and resolves within a day on the clock. Favorites in this price band historically resolve more often than their price implies.
RISK // Heuristic only: one headline against the favorite and the position bleeds out with no model to catch it.
QUANT SIGNAL — pure flow-following, no model opinion. Backing the favorite "Spirit" at 57¢ with $1.9M of 24h volume behind it and resolves within a day on the clock. Favorites in this price band historically resolve more often than their price implies.
RISK // Heuristic only: one headline against the favorite and the position bleeds out with no model to catch it.
QUANT SIGNAL — pure flow-following, no model opinion. Backing the favorite "Under" at 57¢ with $0.6M of 24h volume behind it and resolves within a day on the clock. Favorites in this price band historically resolve more often than their price implies.
RISK // Heuristic only: one headline against the favorite and the position bleeds out with no model to catch it.
QUANT SIGNAL — pure flow-following, no model opinion. Backing the favorite "No" at 82¢ with $5.7M of 24h volume behind it and ~2 days on the clock. Favorites in this price band historically resolve more often than their price implies.
RISK // Heuristic only: one headline against the favorite and the position bleeds out with no model to catch it.
QUANT SIGNAL — pure flow-following, no model opinion. Backing the favorite "Spurs" at 65¢ with $0.7M of 24h volume behind it and resolves within a day on the clock. Favorites in this price band historically resolve more often than their price implies.
RISK // Heuristic only: one headline against the favorite and the position bleeds out with no model to catch it.
AI-generated analysis for information and entertainment — not financial advice. The oracle can be wrong. Trade what you can afford to lose.
Every sync, the oracle pulls the most liquid open markets on Polymarket — live prices, 24h flow, book depth, resolution clocks — then filters out the dead and the already-decided.
Claude weighs each price against base rates, time decay and what it actually knows. No invented headlines: if an edge can't be defended, the market gets skipped.
The 6 highest-conviction trades hit the board with an entry, a confidence score, a thesis, and the fastest way each one dies. Auto-refreshes every 30 minutes.
OPEN FEED // The board is public and free, and so is the raw data — hit /api/predictions for the JSON and build whatever you want on top of it. The oracle states probabilities, not prophecies: every signal carries its own risk line for a reason.
$PREDICTIONS is the memecoin strapped to the oracle, launching on pump.fun. It pays the API bills and powers the vibes. It does not grant equity, yield, governance, or the oracle's affection — the signal feed stays free either way.
Only trust the address shown on this site and the official X account. Anyone DMing you a different CA is farming you.
No. The board is AI-generated analysis published for information and entertainment. The oracle can be confidently wrong, prediction markets can resolve against you, and memecoins can go to zero. Size positions like all of that is true — because it is.
Each sync, the most liquid open Polymarket markets get pulled from the public API and filtered (no dead books, nothing already priced at 0 or 100). Claude then compares each price to base rates and what it verifiably knows, skips anything that would require inventing news, and returns its highest-conviction sides with a calibrated confidence score, thesis, and risk line.
It's the oracle's own probability estimate that the chosen side resolves in your favor. EDGE is that estimate minus the market's current price. A +6 edge on a liquid market is a real signal — anyone promising +40 edges everywhere is selling you something.
Every 30 minutes. Market prices in the ticker refresh about every 5 minutes. Timestamps on the board are UTC.
It's the memecoin attached to the project, launched on pump.fun. It helps cover API costs and exists for the culture. It is not equity, does not gate the feed, and grants no rights. The contract address will be posted on this page — trust no other source.
If the Claude API key isn't configured or a call fails, the site falls back to a transparent, deterministic heuristic (liquidity-weighted favorites with time decay) and labels the board accordingly. The feed never silently pretends a model said something it didn't.
No. Independent project. Market data comes from Polymarket's public API; analysis is generated via the Claude API. Neither company endorses, sponsors, or operates this site or the token.